The bulk of games are tonight, so there will plenty of PWR tables, simulations, blogs, and tweets about PWR implications of the outcomes. I’ll try to give you a preview of some of those in advance.
These claims are a little less certain than my usual articles because they involve a fair amount of human tweaking, tallying, and writing. So, I may have introduced some error, so I’ll use the words “appear to be” a lot.
I’m starting with the effects of ECAC outcomes because the large number of bubble teams in the ECAC makes those among the most interesting.
- Minnesota appears not to be able to make it at-large with 0 wins if Harvard wins today.
- Boston College appears to be guaranteed an at-large bid if Harvard and St. Lawrence win today.
- Mass.-Lowell appears not to be able to make it at-large (though could still be alive in their own tournament) if Harvard wins today.
- Yale appears not to be able to make the tournament if Quinnipiac and Colgate win today.
- Vermont appears not to be able to make it at-large (though could still be alive in their own tournament) if Harvard and Colgate win today.
Plus the effects on the playing ECAC teams themselves, previously discussed:
- St. Lawrence appears to need to win its conference tournament to get a bid
- Colgate appears to need at least one win to make the tournament, so would be eliminated with a loss tonight