The remaining tournament possibilities

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I ran all 3,145,728 remaining possible outcomes, and here’s a first pass on the percentage of remaining scenarios each team makes the NCAA tournament.

The same data is also available in a horizontal table that doesn’t fit as well in a blog post:
PWR possibilities

Team PWR Possibilities
Overall By number of wins
UND #1 62.6%
#2 26.0%
#3 10.0%
#4 1.4%
Tournament invites: 100.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#1 34.0% 63.0% 100.0%
#2 41.1% 29.5%  
#3 20.8% 7.4%  
#4 4.2% < 1%  
Tournament invites: 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Quinnipiac #1 15.3%
#2 39.6%
#3 29.4%
#4 15.5%
#5 0.2%
#6 0.0%
Tournament invites: 100.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#1 < 1% 4.5% 56.8%
#2 35.4% 45.7% 41.8%
#3 39.0% 38.0% 1.4%
#4 25.1% 11.7%  
#5 0.5% < 1%  
#6 < 1%    
Tournament invites: 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
SCSU #1 18.7%
#2 14.2%
#3 32.6%
#4 23.8%
#5 8.4%
#6 2.3%
Tournament invites: 100.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#1   7.7% 61.9%
#2 < 1% 17.6% 27.4%
#3 29.5% 48.2% 10.7%
#4 39.7% 25.4%  
#5 23.9% 1.1%  
#6 6.9%    
Tournament invites: 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Providence #1 3.4%
#2 12.9%
#3 9.9%
#4 41.4%
#5 26.4%
#6 6.0%
Tournament invites: 100.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#1     13.6%
#2     51.4%
#3 1.1% 7.2% 30.1%
#4 58.3% 44.3% 4.9%
#5 32.1% 41.5%  
#6 8.5% 7.0%  
Tournament invites: 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Boston College #1 0.0%
#2 7.4%
#3 10.3%
#4 8.3%
#5 61.4%
#6 12.7%
Tournament invites: 100.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#1     0.1%
#2     29.4%
#3   < 1% 41.1%
#4   3.9% 29.3%
#5 82.3% 80.8% < 1%
#6 17.7% 15.3%  
Tournament invites: 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Denver #3 7.8%
#4 9.6%
#5 3.6%
#6 77.4%
#7 1.6%
#8 0.0%
Tournament invites: 100.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#3     31.4%
#4   1.2% 36.3%
#5   3.4% 8.5%
#6 98.1% 93.1% 23.5%
#7 1.9% 2.3% 0.3%
#8 < 1%    
Tournament invites: 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Michigan #6 0.0%
#7 57.3%
#8 30.0%
#9 9.9%
#10 2.7%
Tournament invites: 100.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#6     < 1%
#7 44.8% 43.4% 96.3%
#8 39.7% 37.1% 3.7%
#9 10.9% 17.9%  
#10 4.6% 1.6%  
Tournament invites: 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Mass.-Lowell #7 26.6%
#8 18.8%
#9 38.9%
#10 15.6%
#11 0.1%
Tournament invites: 100.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#7   27.6% 78.7%
#8   53.9% 21.3%
#9 73.1% 9.5%  
#10 26.8% 9.0%  
#11 0.2%    
Tournament invites: 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Boston University #6 1.6%
#7 14.4%
#8 49.2%
#9 34.7%
Tournament invites: 100.0%		 n/a
Yale #9 0.6%
#10 61.1%
#11 26.7%
#12 9.8%
#13 1.8%
Tournament invites: 98.8%		 n/a
Harvard #8 1.9%
#9 15.9%
#10 10.1%
#11 24.3%
#12 30.0%
#13 15.7%
#14 2.0%
Tournament invites: 86.2%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#8     7.8%
#9   1.6% 62.0%
#10   17.5% 23.0%
#11 5.5% 78.9% 7.2%
#12 59.0% 2.0%  
#13 31.5%    
#14 4.0%    
Tournament invites: 73.3% 98.2% 100.0%
Notre Dame #10 2.3%
#11 37.0%
#12 50.2%
#13 10.4%
Tournament invites: 93.1%		 n/a
UMD #10 8.1%
#11 11.2%
#12 5.3%
#13 29.0%
#14 24.9%
#15 8.1%
#16 7.9%
#17 5.0%
#18 0.4%
#19 0.0%
Tournament invites: 51.4%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#10     32.5%
#11     44.6%
#12     21.1%
#13 16.0% 55.8% 1.7%
#14 27.7% 37.7%  
#15 16.1% 6.5%  
#16 23.7%    
#17 15.1%    
#18 1.3%    
#19 < 1%    
Tournament invites: 17.0% 49.7% 100.0%
Northeastern #11 0.7%
#12 4.7%
#13 25.3%
#14 41.4%
#15 25.1%
#16 2.5%
#17 0.2%
Tournament invites: 40.1%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#11     3.0%
#12     18.8%
#13 7.2% 25.8% 61.3%
#14 45.4% 58.0% 16.9%
#15 42.1% 16.2%  
#16 4.9%    
#17 0.5%    
Tournament invites: 15.3% 29.7% 100.0%
MTech #13 17.2%
#14 25.0%
#15 29.3%
#16 19.2%
#17 8.1%
#18 1.1%
#19 0.0%
Tournament invites: 29.1%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#13 0.4% 11.8% 56.2%
#14 6.7% 49.2% 37.6%
#15 36.3% 38.4% 6.3%
#16 38.1% 0.6%  
#17 16.3%    
#18 2.2%    
#19 < 1%    
Tournament invites: 1.2% 13.9% 100.0%
Cornell #13 0.1%
#14 2.6%
#15 20.6%
#16 49.9%
#17 24.2%
#18 2.6%
#19 0.0%
Tournament invites: 1.3%		 n/a
UMN #13 0.0%
#14 0.0%
#15 3.2%
#16 5.3%
#17 6.1%
#18 10.3%
#19 18.2%
#20 19.6%
#21 19.4%
#22 13.3%
#23 4.3%
#24 0.4%
Tournament invites: 25.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#13     < 1%
#14     0.1%
#15     12.7%
#16     21.2%
#17   1.2% 23.3%
#18 2.4% 13.2% 23.1%
#19 10.2% 34.8% 17.3%
#20 22.4% 31.2% 2.2%
#21 31.4% 14.6% < 1%
#22 24.4% 4.5%  
#23 8.3% 0.5%  
#24 0.8% < 1%  
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Nebraska-Omaha #17 18.6%
#18 37.3%
#19 26.4%
#20 13.1%
#21 4.1%
#22 0.5%
#23 0.0%
Tournament invites: 0.0%		 n/a
Robert Morris #16 0.0%
#17 1.3%
#18 15.3%
#19 18.5%
#20 21.6%
#21 24.3%
#22 15.8%
#23 3.2%
Tournament invites: 25.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#16     < 1%
#17   < 1% 5.2%
#18 1.4% 6.7% 51.8%
#19 6.9% 25.5% 34.7%
#20 21.8% 35.0% 7.7%
#21 36.5% 23.8% 0.6%
#22 27.6% 8.1%  
#23 5.8% 1.0%  
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
St. Lawrence #13 0.0%
#14 1.1%
#15 7.0%
#16 7.3%
#17 15.8%
#18 11.2%
#19 15.7%
#20 16.1%
#21 14.7%
#22 9.3%
#23 1.7%
Tournament invites: 25.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#13     < 1%
#14     4.5%
#15     27.9%
#16     29.1%
#17   30.8% 32.5%
#18 3.2% 32.5% 5.9%
#19 19.6% 23.6%  
#20 26.9% 10.7%  
#21 28.3% 2.2%  
#22 18.6% 0.2%  
#23 3.5%    
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Dartmouth #13 0.4%
#14 2.8%
#15 6.7%
#16 7.6%
#17 13.2%
#18 10.3%
#19 6.8%
#20 11.3%
#21 17.2%
#22 17.0%
#23 6.8%
#24 0.0%
Tournament invites: 25.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#13     1.6%
#14     11.0%
#15     26.9%
#16     30.3%
#17   25.7% 27.0%
#18 < 1% 37.7% 3.2%
#19 2.3% 22.7%  
#20 18.1% 9.1%  
#21 32.2% 4.2%  
#22 33.7% 0.6%  
#23 13.6%    
#24 < 1%    
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Penn State #15 0.0%
#16 0.4%
#17 7.3%
#18 8.3%
#19 5.0%
#20 6.3%
#21 6.1%
#22 10.5%
#23 9.0%
#24 15.6%
#25 24.8%
#26 6.6%
#27 0.1%
Tournament invites: 12.5%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2 Win 3
#15       0.1%
#16       3.0%
#17     5.9% 52.5%
#18     25.5% 40.8%
#19   0.6% 35.3% 3.6%
#20   11.6% 27.5%  
#21 < 1% 21.6% 5.8%  
#22 0.1% 41.6% < 1%  
#23 5.8% 24.5%    
#24 31.1% < 1%    
#25 49.6%      
#26 13.2%      
#27 0.1%      
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Clarkson #21 2.6%
#22 19.2%
#23 44.2%
#24 29.7%
#25 4.1%
#26 0.1%
Tournament invites: 0.0%		 n/a
Mankato #17 0.0%
#18 2.9%
#19 7.4%
#20 7.9%
#21 5.3%
#22 2.1%
#23 5.2%
#24 12.5%
#25 16.9%
#26 6.7%
#27 23.9%
#28 9.2%
Tournament invites: 25.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#17     < 1%
#18     11.6%
#19     29.6%
#20     31.7%
#21   1.2% 20.0%
#22   2.1% 6.4%
#23   20.0% 0.7%
#24 1.7% 46.4%  
#25 21.6% 24.2%  
#26 10.4% 6.0%  
#27 47.8% < 1%  
#28 18.5%    
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Rensselaer #22 1.5%
#23 13.6%
#24 35.0%
#25 31.1%
#26 16.3%
#27 2.6%
#28 0.0%
Tournament invites: 0.0%		 n/a
Miami #24 0.0%
#25 17.8%
#26 50.1%
#27 28.8%
#28 3.2%
Tournament invites: 0.0%		 n/a
Bowling Green #18 0.5%
#19 2.0%
#20 4.0%
#21 5.8%
#22 7.5%
#23 5.2%
#24 0.3%
#25 0.1%
#26 17.1%
#27 39.7%
#28 17.9%
Tournament invites: 25.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#18     1.8%
#19     8.1%
#20     16.1%
#21     23.0%
#22     29.9%
#23     20.8%
#24   0.8% 0.2%
#25   0.4%  
#26 < 1% 68.4%  
#27 65.3% 28.1%  
#28 34.7% 2.4%  
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Air Force #19 0.0%
#20 0.0%
#21 0.5%
#22 3.2%
#23 6.9%
#24 6.5%
#25 5.2%
#26 3.1%
#27 5.0%
#28 63.8%
#29 5.8%
Tournament invites: 25.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#19     < 1%
#20     < 1%
#21     2.2%
#22     12.7%
#23     27.5%
#24     26.0%
#25     20.9%
#26   1.8% 10.6%
#27   19.8% < 1%
#28 89.0% 77.3%  
#29 11.0% 1.0%  
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Union #29 75.7%
#30 21.4%
#31 2.8%
Tournament invites: 0.0%		 n/a
Ferris State #28 0.4%
#29 2.8%
#30 27.3%
#31 39.1%
#32 30.2%
#33 0.2%
#34 0.0%
Tournament invites: 25.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#28     1.4%
#29   0.2% 11.0%
#30 1.0% 32.3% 75.1%
#31 50.0% 43.7% 12.5%
#32 48.5% 23.8%  
#33 0.5%    
#34 < 1%    
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Ohio State #28 5.4%
#29 15.7%
#30 16.0%
#31 13.4%
#32 19.4%
#33 28.3%
#34 1.9%
Tournament invites: 12.5%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2 Win 3
#28       43.4%
#29     68.8% 56.6%
#30 < 1% 50.0% 27.8% < 1%
#31 0.9% 50.0% 3.4%  
#32 38.8% < 1%    
#33 56.6%      
#34 3.7%      
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
RIT #35 1.0%
#36 23.1%
#37 22.0%
#38 28.4%
#39 20.1%
#40 5.0%
#41 0.4%
Tournament invites: 25.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#35     4.0%
#36     92.5%
#37   84.3% 3.6%
#38 49.3% 15.0%  
#39 39.8% 0.8%  
#40 10.0%    
#41 0.8%    
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
UW #36 10.5%
#37 5.1%
#38 4.5%
#39 18.5%
#40 18.7%
#41 29.1%
#42 12.1%
#43 1.5%
Tournament invites: 12.5%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2 Win 3
#36     1.6% 82.1%
#37     22.6% 17.9%
#38     36.1%  
#39   59.8% 28.4%  
#40 21.2% 27.3% 10.6%  
#41 52.8% 10.5% 0.6%  
#42 23.1% 2.5%    
#43 2.9%      
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Army #37 0.4%
#38 9.0%
#39 12.1%
#40 20.9%
#41 39.4%
#42 16.2%
#43 2.1%
Tournament invites: 25.0%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2
#37     1.4%
#38     35.9%
#39   0.4% 47.9%
#40 12.8% 43.3% 14.8%
#41 53.8% 49.8%  
#42 29.1% 6.4%  
#43 4.3%    
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Michigan State #37 0.5%
#38 4.9%
#39 5.8%
#40 4.1%
#41 6.5%
#42 4.7%
#43 23.2%
#44 0.2%
#45 0.0%
#46 46.8%
#47 3.2%
Tournament invites: 12.5%
PWR Win 0 Win 1 Win 2 Win 3
#37       4.2%
#38       39.5%
#39       46.6%
#40     25.5% 7.2%
#41     49.8% 2.5%
#42   6.5% 24.6%  
#43   92.8%    
#44   0.7%    
#45 < 1%      
#46 93.6%      
#47 6.4%      
Tournament invites: 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

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